Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 18, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Libertadores de América
Independiente1 - 0Bahia
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Independiente and Bahia.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 37.88%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 37.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Bahia win was 1-2 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Bahia |
| 37.88% | 24.69% | 37.43% |
| Both teams to score 58.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
