We said: Huachipato 2-1 Racing de Montevideo
Huachipato have been inconsistent at home, and Racing CM are on a winless streak, suggesting a closely fought match between the two sides on Tuesday.
However, the hosts have demonstrated superior quality over the past year and hold a slight advantage over the visitors, making them favourites to win.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huachipato win with a probability of 51.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 24.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huachipato win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.