Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 25, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Arsenio Erico
Nacional2 - 2Racing
Caballero (36'), Santacruz (69')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Veron (39'), Rivero (78')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Club Nacional and Racing de Montevideo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Racing 1-1 Cerro
Friday, April 19 at 5.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Friday, April 19 at 5.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
13
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Nacional win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Club Nacional | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
38.56% ( -0.11) | 27.68% ( 0.02) | 33.76% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 48.57% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.79% ( -0.07) | 57.21% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.94% ( -0.06) | 78.06% ( 0.06) |
Club Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.2% ( -0.1) | 28.8% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.35% ( -0.12) | 64.65% ( 0.12) |
Racing de Montevideo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.21% ( 0.02) | 31.79% ( -0.02) |