Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coquimbo Unido win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Sportivo Luqueno had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coquimbo Unido win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Sportivo Luqueno win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Coquimbo Unido in this match.