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Ceara
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 5, 2022 at 11.15pm UK
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
Independiente

Ceara
2 - 1
Independiente

Mendoza (60' pen.), Roberto (66')
Mendoza (7'), Paraiba (56'), Sobral (69'), Pacheco (75')
Paraiba (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Togni (32')
Costa (7'), Asis (55'), Blanco (58'), Romero (59'), Sosa (67')
Costa (12')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Ceara and Independiente.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceara

Last Six:
Last Game: America Mineiro 0-2 Ceara
Wednesday, June 8 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Next Game: Goias vs. Ceara
Sunday, June 12 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Independiente

Last Six:
Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-1 Independiente
Saturday, June 4 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Independiente vs. Talleres
Saturday, June 11 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 52.13%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 20.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.97%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.

Result
CearaDrawIndependiente
52.13%26.89%20.98%
Both teams to score 42.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.06%60.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.05%80.95%
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38%23.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.29%57.71%
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.37%44.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.36%80.64%
Score Analysis
    Ceara 52.12%
    Independiente 20.98%
    Draw 26.88%
CearaDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 15.21%
2-0 @ 10.97%
2-1 @ 8.86%
3-0 @ 5.28%
3-1 @ 4.26%
4-0 @ 1.91%
3-2 @ 1.72%
4-1 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 52.12%
1-1 @ 12.27%
0-0 @ 10.54%
2-2 @ 3.57%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 26.88%
0-1 @ 8.51%
1-2 @ 4.95%
0-2 @ 3.43%
1-3 @ 1.33%
2-3 @ 0.96%
0-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 20.98%

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