Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 7, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado
Puerto Cabello0 - 2Tolima
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Academia Puerto Cabello and Deportes Tolima.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Caracas 0-1 Puerto Cabello
Wednesday, March 8 at 12am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, March 8 at 12am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Tolima win with a probability of 35.7%. A win for Academia Puerto Cabello had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Tolima win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.3%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Academia Puerto Cabello win was 1-0 (12.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Deportes Tolima would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Academia Puerto Cabello | Draw | Deportes Tolima |
34.77% ( 0.16) | 29.53% ( 0.02) | 35.7% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 43.38% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.38% ( -0.08) | 63.61% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.09% ( -0.06) | 82.91% ( 0.06) |
| Academia Puerto Cabello Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.55% ( 0.07) | 34.44% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.84% ( 0.07) | 71.16% ( -0.07) |
| Deportes Tolima Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.18% ( -0.16) | 33.82% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.52% ( -0.18) | 70.48% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
Academia Puerto Cabello 34.76%
Deportes Tolima 35.69%
Draw 29.53%
| Academia Puerto Cabello | Draw | Deportes Tolima |
| 1-0 @ 12.41% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.28% Total : 34.76% | 1-1 @ 13.46% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.64% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.53% | 0-1 @ 12.62% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 35.69% |
