Copa Sudamericana | First Round

Mar 8, 2023 at 12am UK

Estadio Olimpico de la UCV

Caracas
0 - 1
Puerto Cabello

Rivillo (30'), Contreras (38'), Ortega (76'), Rodriguez (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hernandez (53')
Iliya (24'), Lugo (41'), Ayine (90+3')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Caracas and Academia Puerto Cabello.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caracas

Last Game: Athletico PR 5-1 Caracas
Thursday, May 26 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Academia Puerto Cabello

Last Game: Puerto Cabello 0-1 Metropolitanos
Thursday, April 8 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caracas win with a probability of 52.31%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Academia Puerto Cabello had a probability of 21.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caracas win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for an Academia Puerto Cabello win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Caracas	Draw	Academia Puerto Cabello
52.31% ( -0.26)	26.18% ( 0.04)	21.51% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 44.69% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.86% (

0.07)

58.14% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.2% (

0.05)

78.8% (

-0.05)

Caracas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.65% (

-0.08)

22.35% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.17% (

-0.12)

55.83% (

0.12)

Academia Puerto Cabello Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.55% (

0.27)

42.45% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.18% (

0.23)

78.82% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Caracas 52.31%

Academia Puerto Cabello 21.51%

Draw 26.18%

Caracas	Draw	Academia Puerto Cabello
1-0 @ 14.21% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 52.31%	1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.61% Total : 26.18%	0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.08% Total : 21.51%