MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 06:06:27| >> :120:19491:19491:
Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Aug 24, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Hernan Ramirez Villegas
Palmeiras

Dep. Pereira
0 - 4
Palmeiras


Vasquez (49'), Quintero (68')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Veiga (23' pen.), Rocha (31'), Mayke (34'), Rony (82')
Ferreira (59'), Menino (70'), Fabinho (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Deportivo Pereira and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportivo Pereira

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Last Game: Independiente 1-1 Dep. Pereira
Thursday, August 10 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Palmeiras

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Cuiaba 0-2 Palmeiras
Saturday, August 19 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Deportivo Pereira 0-2 Palmeiras

 The visitors come into this match carrying very good form, especially in defence, where they have kept three consecutive clean sheets leading up to this match. They are expected to qualify for the next round, and we fancy them to take at least a two-goal lead away from this crucial opening leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Deportivo Pereira had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Deportivo Pereira win was 1-0 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Deportivo PereiraDrawPalmeiras
30.44% (-0.339 -0.34) 28.52% (0.064 0.06) 41.03% (0.268 0.27)
Both teams to score 45.27% (-0.298 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.09% (-0.315 -0.31)60.9% (0.307 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.08% (-0.237 -0.24)80.92% (0.229 0.23)
Deportivo Pereira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.9% (-0.42599999999999 -0.43)36.09% (0.417 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.13% (-0.433 -0.43)72.87% (0.426 0.43)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.83% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)29.16% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.89%65.1% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Deportivo Pereira 30.43%
    Palmeiras 41.02%
    Draw 28.51%
Deportivo PereiraDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 10.72%
2-1 @ 6.74% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
2-0 @ 5.47% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.29% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.86% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.41% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 30.43%
1-1 @ 13.21%
0-0 @ 10.52% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.15% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.51%
0-1 @ 12.96% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 8.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.99% (0.094 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 3.28% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.03%
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 41.02%

How you voted: Dep. Pereira vs Palmeiras

Deportivo Pereira
6.3%
Draw
31.3%
Palmeiras
62.5%
16
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