Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 46.12%. A win for Club Guarani had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Club Guarani win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.