MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 16:51:55| >> :60:114:114:
Copa do Brasil | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Aug 1, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Alfredo Jaconi
Fluminense

Juventude
3 - 2
Fluminense

Barbosa (48'), Sam (55'), Goncalves (74')
Caique (32'), Ewerton (39'), Carlos (40'), Ventura (40')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lima (3'), Thiago (90+4')
Fabio (24'), Menezes (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa do Brasil clash between Juventude and Fluminense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventude

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Juventude 1-2 Criciuma
Saturday, July 27 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Fluminense

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Bragantino 0-1 Fluminense
Sunday, July 28 at 3pm in Brasileiro

We said: Juventude 0-1 Fluminense

 While Fluminense have turned a corner of late, they are yet to get going at the top end of the pitch, having failed to score two goals or more in a game since the start of June. That said, we are backing the visitors to claim a fourth 1-0 win in a row and steal a match on their hosts ahead of the return leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Juventude had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.84%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Juventude win was 1-0 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
JuventudeDrawFluminense
33.78% (0.061999999999998 0.06) 28.47% (-0.029 -0.03) 37.75% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Both teams to score 46.27% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.93% (0.109 0.11)60.07% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.71% (0.084 0.08)80.29% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Juventude Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.75% (0.099000000000004 0.1)33.25% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.14% (0.108 0.11)69.86% (-0.107 -0.11)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.31% (0.033999999999992 0.03)30.68% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.06% (0.039999999999999 0.04)66.94% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Juventude 33.77%
    Fluminense 37.75%
    Draw 28.46%
JuventudeDrawFluminense
1-0 @ 11.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.31% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.19% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.68% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.27% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 33.77%
1-1 @ 13.27%
0-0 @ 10.2% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.32% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.46%
0-1 @ 12.05% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.84% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 7.12% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.09% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.8% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.7% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 37.75%

How you voted: Juventude vs Fluminense

Juventude
17.9%
Draw
23.1%
Fluminense
59.0%
39
Head to Head
Jun 1, 2024 10.30pm
Gameweek 7
Fluminense
1-1
Juventude
Marcelo (42' pen.)
Ganso (45+3'), Martinelli (66')
Jadson (67')
Machado (45+4'), Popo (76'), Marcos (82'), Jadson (90+1'), Jadson (90+1')
Popo (84')
> Preview
Sep 28, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 28
Fluminense
4-0
Juventude
Cano (19'), Xavier (28'), Arias (56'), Araujo (88')
> Preview
Jun 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 9
Juventude
1-0
Fluminense
Claro (32' og.)
Matheus (52'), Soares (73'), Kelven (90+1')

Ganso (52'), Melo (67'), Manoel (82'), Kennedy (90+1')
Nonato (90+4')
> Preview
Nov 17, 2021 11.30pm
Gameweek 33
Juventude
1-0
Fluminense
Mendes (18')
Castilho (73'), Capixaba (82')

Lucca (45+2')
> Preview
Sep 2, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 14
Fluminense
1-1
Juventude
Arias (53')
Arias (36'), Xavier (71')
Lucca (68' og.)
Jesus (35')
rhs 2.0
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