We said: Fluminense 0-2 Palmeiras
Buoyed by their results at Cuiaba, Fluminense will head into Wednesday's tie with confidence as they look to continue their surge from the danger zone. However, Palmeiras have put together a solid run of results in recent weeks and we fancy them to secure all three points at the Maracana.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.