MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 17:04:14| >> :60:6:6:
Fluminense
Copa do Brasil | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Fluminense
2 - 2
Juventude

Elias Nogueira (90'), Keno (90+3')
Thiago (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Barbosa (6'), Marcelinho (86')
Ruschel (44'), Thiaguinho (60'), Jadson (63'), Goncalves (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa do Brasil clash between Fluminense and Juventude, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fluminense 1-0 Bahia
Sunday, August 4 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 1-1 Juventude
Sunday, August 4 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Fluminense 2-0 Juventude (Fluminense win 4-3 on aggregate)

Despite Thiago Silva's anticipated absence from the XI, Fluminense should take advantage of a Juventude side suffering from either suspensions or injury absences to overturn the first-leg defeat and advance to the competition's last eight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 53.98%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 22.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
FluminenseDrawJuventude
53.98% (-0.191 -0.19) 23.27% (0.074000000000002 0.07) 22.74% (0.115 0.11)
Both teams to score 54.77% (-0.105 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.41% (-0.208 -0.21)45.58% (0.204 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.09% (-0.199 -0.2)67.91% (0.196 0.2)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.19% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)16.81% (0.141 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.22% (-0.256 -0.26)46.78% (0.252 0.25)
Juventude Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.84% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)34.16% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.15% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)70.85% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 53.97%
    Juventude 22.74%
    Draw 23.26%
FluminenseDrawJuventude
1-0 @ 10.23% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.83% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.43% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.6% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.42% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 53.97%
1-1 @ 10.99% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.74% (0.05 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.26%
0-1 @ 6.17% (0.052 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.91% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.31% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.12% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.19% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 22.74%

How you voted: Fluminense vs Juventude

Fluminense
89.5%
Draw
5.3%
Juventude
5.3%
19
Head to Head
Aug 1, 2024 11pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Juventude
3-2
Fluminense
Barbosa (48'), Sam (55'), Goncalves (74')
Caique (32'), Ewerton (39'), Carlos (40'), Ventura (40')
Lima (3'), Thiago (90+4')
Fabio (24'), Menezes (85')
Jun 1, 2024 10.30pm
Gameweek 7
Fluminense
1-1
Juventude
Marcelo (42' pen.)
Ganso (45+3'), Martinelli (66')
Jadson (67')
Machado (45+4'), Popo (76'), Marcos (82'), Jadson (90+1'), Jadson (90+1')
Popo (84')
Sep 28, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 28
Fluminense
4-0
Juventude
Cano (19'), Xavier (28'), Arias (56'), Araujo (88')
Jun 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 9
Juventude
1-0
Fluminense
Claro (32' og.)
Matheus (52'), Soares (73'), Kelven (90+1')

Ganso (52'), Melo (67'), Manoel (82'), Kennedy (90+1')
Nonato (90+4')
Nov 17, 2021 11.30pm
Gameweek 33
Juventude
1-0
Fluminense
Mendes (18')
Castilho (73'), Capixaba (82')

Lucca (45+2')
rhs 2.0
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