Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 45.74%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Unionistas had a probability of 23.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.95%) and 1-2 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.13%), while for a Unionistas win it was 1-0 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Unionistas	Draw	Sporting Gijon
23.94% ( 0.53)	30.32% ( 0.41)	45.74% ( -0.94)

Both teams to score 37.3% (

-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

31.15% (

-0.79)

68.85% (

0.79)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

13.51% (

-0.52)

86.49% (

0.52)

Unionistas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.71% (

0.05)

46.29% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.05% (

0.04)

81.95% (

-0.04)

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.46% (

-0.91)

30.54% (

0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.23% (

-1.09)

66.77% (

1.09)

Score Analysis

Unionistas 23.94%

Sporting Gijon 45.73%

Draw 30.31%

Unionistas	Draw	Sporting Gijon
1-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.53% Total : 23.94%	0-0 @ 14.13% ( 0.4) 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.32% Total : 30.31%	0-1 @ 16.76% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 9.95% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.07% Total : 45.73%