Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 6, 2022 at 5pm UK
Estadio Municipal El Molinón
Sporting Gijon2 - 1Villarreal
We said: Sporting Gijon 1-4 Villarreal
Villarreal's current form suggests that they will make light work of Sporting Gijon on Thursday, and we think they will continue their fine goalscoring touch to ease into the last 16. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Gijon | Draw | Villarreal |
| 31.73% | 25.16% | 43.11% |
| Both teams to score 56.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
