Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 81.31%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 6.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.95%) and 0-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.02%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 1-0 (2.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.

Result
Guangzhou City	Draw	Wuhan Three Towns
6.04% ( -0.02)	12.65% ( -0.11)	81.31% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 42.73% (

0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.34% (

0.46)

35.66% (

-0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.28% (

0.51)

57.73% (

-0.51)

Guangzhou City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.8% (

0.27)

54.2% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.6% (

0.16)

87.4% (

-0.16)

Wuhan Three Towns Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.29% (

0.12)

6.71% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.16% (

0.33)

24.84% (

-0.33)

Score Analysis

Guangzhou City 6.04%

Wuhan Three Towns 81.3%

Draw 12.65%

Guangzhou City	Draw	Wuhan Three Towns
1-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 1.84% Other @ 1.97% Total : 6.04%	1-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.51% Total : 12.65%	0-2 @ 13.27% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 11.95% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 8.07% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 7.32% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 4.94% ( 0.06) 0-5 @ 4.36% ( 0.05) 1-5 @ 2.67% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.03) 0-6 @ 1.96% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.03) 1-6 @ 1.2% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.84% Total : 81.3%