Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.