Champions League

Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 10, 2021 at 6pm UK

Bolshaya Sportivnaya Arena

Sheriff Tiraspol
1 - 0
Red Star

(Sheriff Tiraspol win 2-1 on aggregate)

Arboleda Hurtado (45+2')
Kolovos (27'), Cristiano (28'), Julien (30'), Castaneda (30')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Srnic (18'), Sanogo (45+4'), Rodic (64'), Gavric (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Sheriff Tiraspol and Red Star Belgrade, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheriff Tiraspol win with a probability of 48.62%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheriff Tiraspol win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheriff Tiraspol would win this match.

Result
Sheriff Tiraspol	Draw	Red Star Belgrade
48.62%	23.31%	28.06%

Both teams to score 60.17%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.04%

40.96%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.65%

63.35%

Sheriff Tiraspol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.94%

17.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.77%

47.22%

Red Star Belgrade Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.54%

27.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.06%

62.94%

Score Analysis

Sheriff Tiraspol 48.62%

Red Star Belgrade 28.07%

Draw 23.3%

Sheriff Tiraspol	Draw	Red Star Belgrade
2-1 @ 9.47% 1-0 @ 8.28% 2-0 @ 7.32% 3-1 @ 5.58% 3-0 @ 4.32% 3-2 @ 3.61% 4-1 @ 2.47% 4-0 @ 1.91% 4-2 @ 1.6% Other @ 4.07% Total : 48.62%	1-1 @ 10.7% 2-2 @ 6.12% 0-0 @ 4.68% 3-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.3%	1-2 @ 6.92% 0-1 @ 6.05% 0-2 @ 3.91% 1-3 @ 2.98% 2-3 @ 2.64% 0-3 @ 1.69% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.91% Total : 28.07%