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Champions League
Lincoln Red Imps
Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 16, 2024 at 5pm UK
Victoria Stadium, Wincham

Lincoln
0 - 1
Hamrun Spartans


Oliver (52'), De Barr (64'), Yahaya (120+120'), Yahaya (120+1')
Bent (5')
FT
(aet)
Hugo Manarin Leite da Silva (89')
Mbong (41'), Geder (69'), Letherby (86'), Borg (120+2')
Lincoln win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Lincoln Red Imps and Hamrun Spartans, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln Red Imps

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Last Game: Hamrun Spartans 0-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, July 9 at 5.45pm in Champions League
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Hamrun Spartans

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Hamrun Spartans 0-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, July 9 at 5.45pm in Champions League
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We say: Lincoln Red Imps 1-1 Hamrun Spartans (Lincoln Red Imps win 2-1 on aggregate)

 It is a big ask for Hamrun Spartans to turn this tie around, and we have to side with Lincoln Red Imps here. It would not be a surprise to see the visitors score, but the home side should have enough to navigate their way into the next stage, as any draw is also good enough for them to progress. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamrun Spartans win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamrun Spartans win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Lincoln Red Imps win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%).

Result
Lincoln Red ImpsDrawHamrun Spartans
28.94% (0.416 0.42) 25.7% (0.365 0.36) 45.36% (-0.78 -0.78)
Both teams to score 52.77% (-0.884 -0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.03% (-1.28 -1.28)50.97% (1.28 1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.16% (-1.135 -1.14)72.84% (1.136 1.14)
Lincoln Red Imps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.03% (-0.35299999999999 -0.35)31.97% (0.356 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.56% (-0.407 -0.41)68.43% (0.408 0.41)
Hamrun Spartans Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.57% (-0.89 -0.89)22.43% (0.892 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.04% (-1.349 -1.35)55.96% (1.351 1.35)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln Red Imps 28.94%
    Hamrun Spartans 45.36%
    Draw 25.7%
Lincoln Red ImpsDrawHamrun Spartans
1-0 @ 8.18% (0.337 0.34)
2-1 @ 6.97% (0.038 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.66% (0.148 0.15)
3-1 @ 2.65% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.77% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 28.94%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 7.17% (0.362 0.36)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 10.72% (0.27 0.27)
1-2 @ 9.14% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-2 @ 8.01% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.55% (-0.178 -0.18)
0-3 @ 3.99% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.7% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-4 @ 1.49% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 45.36%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Hamrun Spartans

Lincoln Red Imps
59.6%
Draw
25.5%
Hamrun Spartans
14.9%
47
Head to Head
Jul 9, 2024 5.45pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Hamrun Spartans
0-1
Lincoln

Emerson (33'), Borg (71'), Montebello (90+5')
Elionay (10')
Britto (37')
Gomez (24'), De Barr (45+2'), Ayew (63'), Santana (74'), Bent (90+5')
Gomez (45')
> Preview
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