Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 16, 2024 at 5pm UK
Victoria Stadium, Wincham
Lincoln0 - 1Hamrun Spartans
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hamrun Spartans 0-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, July 9 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Tuesday, July 9 at 5.45pm in Champions League
We say: Lincoln Red Imps 1-1 Hamrun Spartans (Lincoln Red Imps win 2-1 on aggregate)
It is a big ask for Hamrun Spartans to turn this tie around, and we have to side with Lincoln Red Imps here. It would not be a surprise to see the visitors score, but the home side should have enough to navigate their way into the next stage, as any draw is also good enough for them to progress. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamrun Spartans win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamrun Spartans win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Lincoln Red Imps win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%).
| Result | ||
| Lincoln Red Imps | Draw | Hamrun Spartans |
28.94% ( 0.42) | 25.7% ( 0.36) | 45.36% ( -0.78) |
| Both teams to score 52.77% ( -0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
