Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 16, 2024 at 5pm UK
Victoria Stadium, Wincham
FT (aet)
Hugo Manarin Leite da Silva (89')
Mbong (41'), Geder (69'), Letherby (86'),
Borg (120+2')
Lincoln win 5-4 on penalties
Form, Standings, Stats
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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamrun Spartans win with a probability of 45.36% . A win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.7% .
The most likely scoreline for a Hamrun Spartans win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.01%) . The likeliest Lincoln Red Imps win was 1-0 (8.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%) .
Result Lincoln Red Imps Draw Hamrun Spartans 28.94% ( 0.42) 25.7% ( 0.36) 45.36% ( -0.78)
Both teams to score 52.77% ( -0.88)
49.03% ( -1.28) 50.97% ( 1.28)
27.16% ( -1.14) 72.84% ( 1.14)
68.03% ( -0.35) 31.97% ( 0.36)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 31.56% ( -0.41) 68.43% ( 0.41)
77.57% ( -0.89) 22.43% ( 0.89)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 44.04% ( -1.35) 55.96% ( 1.35)
Lincoln Red Imps 28.94%
Hamrun Spartans 45.36%
Draw 25.7%
Lincoln Red Imps Draw Hamrun Spartans 1-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.73% Total : 28.94% 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.7% 0-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 9.14% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 8.01% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.55% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.19% Total : 45.36%
How you voted: Lincoln vs Hamrun Spartans
Lincoln Red Imps
Draw
Hamrun Spartans
47
rhs 2.0
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