Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fola Esch win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fola Esch win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Lincoln Red Imps win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.