Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln Red Imps win with a probability of 72.26%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for UT Petange had a probability of 11.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln Red Imps win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 1-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.82%), while for a UT Petange win it was 1-2 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lincoln Red Imps in this match.