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Champions League
Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 17, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade Parc des Sports
KI Klaksvik

Differdange
0 - 0
KI


Jorginho (61'), El Idrissi (83'), Buch (90+3')
Bedouret (34')
FT

Ejupi (42'), Frederiksberg (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between FC Differdange 03 and KI Klaksvik, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Differdange 03

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Last Game: KI 2-0 Differdange
Wednesday, July 10 at 7pm in Champions League
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KI Klaksvik

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Last Game: KI 2-0 Differdange
Wednesday, July 10 at 7pm in Champions League
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We said: FC Differdange 03 1-1 KI Klaksvik (KI win 3-1 on aggregate)

 Despite dominating large parts of the first game, Differdange were unable to get themselves on the scoresheet and now have the difficult task of overturning a two-goal deficit. We expect this match to follow a similar trend to the reverse fixture with the hosts having a majority of the chances, but ultimately we expect KI to hold on to their aggregate lead and progress into the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KI Klaksvik win with a probability of 46.97%. A win for FC Differdange 03 had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a KI Klaksvik win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest FC Differdange 03 win was 1-0 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
FC Differdange 03DrawKI Klaksvik
27.77% (0.096 0.1) 25.26% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07) 46.97% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Both teams to score 53.36% (0.273 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.18% (0.32400000000001 0.32)49.82% (-0.329 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.18% (0.288 0.29)71.82% (-0.294 -0.29)
FC Differdange 03 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.74% (0.244 0.24)32.25% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.25% (0.278 0.28)68.75% (-0.282 -0.28)
KI Klaksvik Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.77% (0.116 0.12)21.23% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.87% (0.184 0.18)54.13% (-0.188 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    FC Differdange 03 27.77%
    KI Klaksvik 46.96%
    Draw 25.26%
FC Differdange 03DrawKI Klaksvik
1-0 @ 7.75% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-1 @ 6.79% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.38% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.56% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.65% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 27.77%
1-1 @ 12% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.85% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.04 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.26%
0-1 @ 10.61% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 9.31% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.22% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.81% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.031 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.86% (0.015 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.65% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 46.96%

How you voted: Differdange vs KI

FC Differdange 03
52.6%
Draw
15.8%
KI Klaksvik
31.6%
57
Head to Head
Jul 10, 2024 7pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
KI
2-0
Differdange
Frederiksberg (12', 45+4' pen.)
Petersen (31'), Pavlovic (35')

El Idrissi (85')
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