Champions League | Last 16 | 1st Leg
Feb 23, 2022 at 8pm UK
Vicente Calderon Stadium
Atletico1 - 1Man Utd
Reaction
Anthony Elanga breaks Manchester United Champions League record
Anthony Elanga becomes Manchester United's youngest-ever goalscorer in the Champions League knockout stages with his equaliser against Atletico Madrid.
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The Match
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash between Atletico Madrid and Manchester United.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Atletico Madrid and Manchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Manchester United could line up in Wednesday's Champions League clash with Atletico Madrid.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Manchester United's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Atletico Madrid.
We said: Atletico Madrid 1-1 Manchester United
Both teams would view a draw as a positive result ahead of the second leg at Old Trafford, and we are finding it difficult to separate them here. Man United are more than capable of finding the back of the net in Madrid, but Atletico will also expect to score at Wanda Metropolitano, so this contest could finish 1-1. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.85%) and 1-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 (12.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Manchester United |
| 30.82% | 30.05% | 39.12% |
| Both teams to score 41.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.32% | 65.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.63% | 84.36% |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.56% | 38.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.81% | 75.18% |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.28% | 32.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.73% | 69.27% |
| Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid 30.82%
Manchester United 39.12%
Draw 30.04%
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Manchester United |
| 1-0 @ 12.02% 2-1 @ 6.42% 2-0 @ 5.75% 3-1 @ 2.05% 3-0 @ 1.83% 3-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.6% Total : 30.82% | 1-1 @ 13.43% 0-0 @ 12.57% 2-2 @ 3.59% Other @ 0.46% Total : 30.04% | 0-1 @ 14.04% 0-2 @ 7.85% 1-2 @ 7.51% 0-3 @ 2.92% 1-3 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.67% Total : 39.12% |
How you voted: Atletico vs Man Utd
Atletico Madrid
26.1%Draw
27.6%Manchester United
46.3%681
Form Guide
Build-up
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How Manchester United could line up against Atletico Madrid
Sports Mole looks at how Manchester United could line up in Wednesday's Champions League clash with Atletico Madrid.
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Manchester United team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Atletico Madrid
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Phil Jones added to Manchester United Champions League squad
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