Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 26

Feb 20, 2022 at 2pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
2 - 4
Man Utd

Rodrigo (53'), Raphinha (54')
Struijk (61'), Ayling (68'), Forshaw (76'), Raphinha (81'), Firpo (90+2'), Klich (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Maguire (34'), Fernandes (45+5'), Fred (70'), Elanga (88')
Ronaldo (56'), McTominay (78'), Shaw (90+2')

Leeds United to hand lifetime bans to fans who threw objects at Manchester United players

Leeds United will issue lifetime bans to supporters who are found to have thrown objects at Manchester United players last weekend.

Feb 22, 12:02

Manchester United interim manager Ralf Rangnick reacts on February 20, 2022

Ralf Rangnick hails "perfect response" in Leeds United win

Ralf Rangnick believes that Manchester United delivered the "perfect response" to a difficult week in Sunday's 4-2 Premier League win at Leeds United.

Feb 20, 23:19

Anthony Elanga celebrates scoring for Manchester United on February 20, 2022

Manchester United's Anthony Elanga struck by coin in Leeds United win

Manchester United's Anthony Elanga is struck by a coin as the Red Devils secure a 4-2 Premier League win over Leeds United at Elland Road.

Feb 20, 17:54

The Match

We said: Leeds United 1-2 Manchester United

Elland Road will be bouncing on Sunday, with the Leeds fans desperate to get one over on their rivals, and it should be an entertaining game between two attacking sides. The Whites have more than enough quality to find the back of the net, but we believe that Man United will shade a close contest to secure another important three points in their pursuit of a top-four finish. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 50.64%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 26.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 2-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Manchester United
26.12%	23.24%	50.64%

Both teams to score 58.68%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.83%

42.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.42%

64.58%

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.5%

29.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.49%

65.51%

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.23%

16.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.29%

46.71%

Score Analysis

Leeds United 26.12%

Manchester United 50.64%

Draw 23.24%

Leeds United	Draw	Manchester United
2-1 @ 6.58% 1-0 @ 6.04% 2-0 @ 3.69% 3-1 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 2.39% 3-0 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.25% Total : 26.12%	1-1 @ 10.78% 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 4.95% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.24%	1-2 @ 9.63% 0-1 @ 8.83% 0-2 @ 7.89% 1-3 @ 5.73% 0-3 @ 4.7% 2-3 @ 3.5% 1-4 @ 2.56% 0-4 @ 2.1% 2-4 @ 1.56% 1-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.24% Total : 50.64%