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Norwich logo
Premier League | Gameweek 37
Jul 18, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Carrow Road
Burnley logo

Norwich
0 - 2
Burnley


Buendia (35'), Drmic (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wood (45+5'), Godfrey (80' og.)

Preview: Norwich City vs. Burnley - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League fixture between Norwich City and Burnley, including team news and predicted lineups.

Burnley make the trip to Carrow Road to face Norwich City on Saturday evening needing maximum points to retain any hope of qualifying for next season's Europa League.

Meanwhile, the Canaries play host to the Clarets in a game which marks their final home fixture before their relegation from the Premier League.


Match preview

Burnley manager Sean Dyche before the match on December 14, 2019© Reuters

Having been held to a 1-1 draw by Wolverhampton Wanderers in midweek, Burnley must now rely on an unlikely set of results to secure a return to the Europa League.

Nevertheless, despite the frustration of a missed opportunity on Wednesday night, Sean Dyche will be satisfied that his team managed to extend their recent unbeaten run to six matches.

The Clarets have now recorded 27 points from their most recent 14 outings, a return which can only fill Dyche with confidence ahead of the next campaign.

With Norwich and Brighton their remaining two opponents, Burnley have the opportunity to end the season with form which is on par to that of second-placed Manchester City.

Although maintaining that over an entire season is a considerably tougher ask, there will be a feeling that Burnley are well equipped to challenge for the top seven again next season.

Despite having relegation confirmed last week, Norwich will be determined to end a nine-match losing streak before the end of the campaign.

On occasions, Daniel Farke and his players can count themselves unfortunate to have put together such a demoralising run, particularly having pushed Manchester United all the way in the FA Cup quarter-finals.

However, the Canaries have barely laid a glove on either West Ham United or Chelsea in their last two outings, which should prompt a more attack-minded performance on Saturday.

Farke will hope that results in a goal for Teemu Pukki, who has not found the back of the net since January 22.

Norwich City Premier League form: LLLLLL

Burnley Premier League form: WWDWDD


Team News

Jay Rodriguez in action for Burnley in pre-season on July 30, 2019© Reuters

Burnley may have to do without Jay Rodriguez, who was withdrawn during the second half against Wolves with an ankle problem.

Charlie Taylor also sustained an issue with his knee, putting Johann Berg Gudmundsson and Matej Vydra in contention for a recall.

Having started Tuesday's meeting with Chelsea among the replacements, Pukki could be brought back into the Norwich starting lineup.

Farke may also consider handing roles to at least one academy graduate as he begins to think about his plans for next season.

Norwich City possible starting lineup:
Krul; Aarons, Klose, Godfrey, Lewis; Tettey, McLean; Cantwell, Steipermann, Hernandez; Pukki

Burnley possible starting lineup:
Pope; Bardsley, Long, Tarkowski, Pieters; Gudmundsson, Westwood, Brownhill, McNeil; Vydra, Wood


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Norwich City 0-2 Burnley

Despite the pressure now being off Norwich, Burnley are the clear favourites to prevail in this contest. Although the Clarets will have to put in another efficient performance, we expect them to run out relatively comfortable winners.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.


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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom7511125716
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3Blackburn RoversBlackburn7430146815
4Burnley7421134914
5Leeds UnitedLeeds7421124814
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
7Watford74121210213
8Middlesbrough732285311
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10Norwich CityNorwich7322119211
11Oxford UnitedOxford Utd7313108210
12Hull City72329819
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14Bristol City7232913-49
15Millwall7223121028
16Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
17Queens Park RangersQPR7142811-37
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