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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Arminia Bielefeld | Draw | Freiburg |
29.63% | 26.81% | 43.56% |
Both teams to score 49.78% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.97% | 55.03% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.71% | 76.29% |
Arminia Bielefeld Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.43% | 33.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.79% | 70.21% |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.93% | 25.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.24% | 59.76% |
Score Analysis |
Arminia Bielefeld | Draw | Freiburg |
1-0 @ 9.19% 2-1 @ 6.94% 2-0 @ 5.01% 3-1 @ 2.52% 3-0 @ 1.82% 3-2 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.4% Total : 29.63% | 1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 8.42% 2-2 @ 4.8% Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.81% | 0-1 @ 11.64% 1-2 @ 8.79% 0-2 @ 8.06% 1-3 @ 4.05% 0-3 @ 3.71% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.4% 0-4 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.4% Total : 43.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 7 | 29 | 29 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 20 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 19 |
6 | Freiburg | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
7 | Stuttgart | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
8 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 16 |
9 | Wolfsburg | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 15 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 14 |
12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
13 | Hoffenheim | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 12 |
14 | Augsburg | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Heidenheim | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 10 |
16 | St Pauli | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 32 | -22 | 2 |
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