Vasco da Gama may have struggled in recent matches, all of which were away from home, but the hosts will undoubtedly gain significant confidence from playing on their own turf. They are unbeaten against Bragantino at this ground and have an impressive five-match unbeaten home record going into this encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Vasco da Gama	Draw	Bragantino
36.75% ( -0.77)	26.92%	36.33% ( 0.77)

Both teams to score 51.18% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.96% (

0.02)

54.04% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.53% (

0.02)

75.47% (

-0.02)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.66% (

-0.44)

28.33% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.93% (

-0.56)

64.07% (

0.57)

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.41% (

0.48)

28.58% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.62% (

0.6)

64.38% (

-0.6)

Score Analysis

Vasco da Gama 36.74%

Bragantino 36.33%

Draw 26.92%

Vasco da Gama	Draw	Bragantino
1-0 @ 10.21% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.74% Total : 36.74%	1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.92%	0-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.68% Total : 36.33%

How you voted: Vasco vs Bragantino

Vasco da Gama

77.8%

Draw

18.5%

Bragantino

3.7%

Head to Head

Apr 17, 2024 11pm

Gameweek 2

Bragantino

2-1

Vasco

Laquintana (7'), Vitinho (78')
Vitinho (88'), Candido (89')

Vegetti (63')
Carvalho (9')

Dec 7, 2023 12.30am

Gameweek 38

Vasco

2-1

Bragantino

Paulinho (29'), Serginho (82')
Paulinho (51'), Medel (84'), Pec (90+5')

Ortiz (63')
Sasha (17')
Realpe (75')

Aug 15, 2023 1am

Gameweek 19

Bragantino

1-1

Vasco

Neves (45+8')
Silva (31'), Capixaba (76'), Alerrandro (88')

Vegetti (32' pen.)
Gomes (35'), Orellano (36'), Angel Diaz (46+46'), Jardim (74'), Medel (76'), Gabriel (85')
Angel Diaz (90+6')

Jan 21, 2021 12.30am

Gameweek 31

Bragantino

4-1

Vasco

Ramires (15'), Claudinho (72', 86'), Hurtado (90+2')

Pec (78')

Sep 27, 2020 3pm

Gameweek 12

Vasco

1-1

Bragantino

Paiva (50')
(90+1')

Evangelista (51')
Tubarao (86')

Form Guide

Atletico GO 1-1 Vasco

Gremio 1-0 Vasco

Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Vasco

Atletico GO 0-1 Vasco

Vasco 2-0 Corinthians

Internacional 1-2 Vasco

Athletico PR 2-0 Bragantino

Bragantino 0-1 Fluminense

Bragantino 3-2 Barcelona

Bragantino 1-0 Athletico PR

Barcelona 1-1 Bragantino

Cruzeiro 2-1 Bragantino

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