Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.