Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 64.53%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Charleroi had a probability of 15.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Charleroi win it was 0-1 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.