Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 54.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Royal Excel Mouscron had a probability of 21.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Royal Excel Mouscron win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.