MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 18:26:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 1
Jul 29, 2023 at 5.15pm UK
Stade du Pays de Charleroi
OH Leuven

Charleroi
1 - 1
Leuven

Dabbagh (9')
Mbenza (39'), Ilaimaharitra (52'), Heymans (79')
Stulic (17')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Opoku (84' pen.)
Maertens (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Belgian Pro League clash between Charleroi and Leuven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charleroi 2-2 Genk
Sunday, April 23 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Leicester 4-2 Leuven
Wednesday, July 19 at 11am in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Charleroi 2-1 Leuven

While Leuven will be looking to continue with their fine pre-season form, they face the stern challenge of facing an opposing side who have won their last four meetings. With that said, we are backing Charleroi to extend their recent dominance in this fixture and claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Leuven win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
CharleroiDrawLeuven
43.93% (-0.279 -0.28) 24.67% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 31.41% (0.228 0.23)
Both teams to score 57.52% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.63% (-0.136 -0.14)45.37% (0.136 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.29% (-0.131 -0.13)67.71% (0.131 0.13)
Charleroi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.26% (-0.181 -0.18)20.74% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.64% (-0.286 -0.29)53.36% (0.284 0.28)
Leuven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.57% (0.079000000000008 0.08)27.43% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.08% (0.10400000000001 0.1)62.92% (-0.104 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Charleroi 43.93%
    Leuven 31.41%
    Draw 24.66%
CharleroiDrawLeuven
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.04% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.78% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.69% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 43.93%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 5.69% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.66%
1-2 @ 7.49% (0.035 0.04)
0-1 @ 7.36% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.76% (0.049 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.23% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.54% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.05% (0.026 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 31.41%

How you voted: Charleroi vs Leuven

Charleroi
63.6%
Draw
9.1%
Leuven
27.3%
11
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Charleroi
0-1
Leuven
Al Tamari (16')
Sep 10, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Leuven
3-2
Charleroi
Maertens (22'), Gonzalez (62', 85')
Heymans (13'), Ilaimaharitra (76' pen.)
Dec 27, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 19
Charleroi
0-3
Leuven
De Norre (17'), Al Tamari (54'), Kaba (74')
Aug 8, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 3
Leuven
1-1
Charleroi
Henry (61')
De Norre (28')
Zorgane (8')
Knezevic (90')
Jan 27, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 22
Charleroi
1-1
Leuven
Dessoleil (61')
Gillet (46'), Fall (49')
Sowah (12')
Tshimanga (60'), Malinov (64'), Al Tamari (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Genk26193451312060
2Club BruggeBrugge26157456302652
3Union SGUnion SG261210439221746
4Royal AntwerpAntwerp26127745291643
5Anderlecht25126744232142
6GentGent26101063830840
7Standard Liege269892029-935
8CharleroiCharleroi2596103028233
9Leuven2671182327-432
10MechelenMechelen2687114137431
11Dender2687113144-1331
12Westerlo2585124444029
13Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge2578102636-1029
14Sint-Truiden2659123250-1824
15KortrijkKortrijk2654172149-2819
16Beerschot WilrijkBeerschot VA2628162456-3214


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