Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 33

Apr 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Maurice Dufrasne

Standard Liege
3 - 1
Charleroi

Ohio (14'), Fossey (82'), Emond (90+1')
Dussenne (50'), Alzate (74'), Emond (77')
Emond (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Nkuba (86')
Hosseinzadeh (64')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Standard Liege and Charleroi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Standard Liege

All competitions

Last Game: Standard Liege 2-0 Genk
Sunday, April 9 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Charleroi

All competitions

Last Game: Charleroi 3-2 Zulte
Saturday, April 8 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Standard Liege would win this match.

Result
Standard Liege	Draw	Charleroi
43.64% ( -0.23)	24.18% ( 0.05)	32.17% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 59.58% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.17% (

-0.17)

42.82% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.77% (

-0.17)

65.22% (

0.16)

Standard Liege Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.19% (

-0.17)

19.8% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.12% (

-0.28)

51.87% (

0.27)

Charleroi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.29% (

0.02)

25.7% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.37% (

0.03)

60.62% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Standard Liege 43.64%

Charleroi 32.17%

Draw 24.17%

Standard Liege	Draw	Charleroi
2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.06% Total : 43.64%	1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.17%	1-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.47% Total : 32.17%