Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 32
Apr 8, 2023 at 3pm UK
King Power at Den Dreef Stadion
Leuven4 - 1Mechelen
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Leuven and Mechelen.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Genk 2-1 Leuven
Sunday, April 2 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Sunday, April 2 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Goals
for
for
45
Last Game: Mechelen 0-3 Brugge
Sunday, April 2 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Sunday, April 2 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Goals
for
for
39
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leuven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leuven | Draw | Mechelen |
45.52% ( 0.5) | 23.14% ( -0.08) | 31.33% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 62.95% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.78% ( 0.19) | 38.22% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.5% ( 0.2) | 60.49% ( -0.2) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.81% ( 0.27) | 17.19% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.54% ( 0.47) | 47.45% ( -0.47) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.02% ( -0.16) | 23.98% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.78% ( -0.22) | 58.22% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
Leuven 45.52%
Mechelen 31.34%
Draw 23.14%
| Leuven | Draw | Mechelen |
| 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.26% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.04)Other @ 4.13% Total : 45.52% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.14% | 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 31.34% |
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Mechelen
0-0
Leuven
Da Cruz (44')
Jan 15, 2022 3.15pm
Sep 18, 2021 5.30pm
Mechelen
2-0
Leuven
Mar 21, 2021 3pm
Mechelen
2-2
Leuven
De Norre (40'), Schrijvers (70')
De Norre (36')
De Norre (36')
Dec 20, 2020 3pm
