Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 26

Feb 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne

Mechelen
2 - 2
Genk

Hairemans (21'), Storm (75')
Mrabti (66')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Tresor Ndayishimiye (35'), Heynen (90+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Mechelen and Genk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mechelen

All competitions

Last Game: Eupen 2-1 Mechelen
Friday, February 10 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Genk

All competitions

Last Game: Genk 0-1 Antwerp
Sunday, February 12 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 56.75%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 22.56% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.47%) and 0-1 (7.02%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 2-1 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Mechelen	Draw	Genk
22.56% ( -0.54)	20.68% ( -0.21)	56.75% ( 0.75)

Both teams to score 63.69% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.26% (

0.38)

33.74% (

-0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.43% (

0.43)

55.56% (

-0.44)

Mechelen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.29% (

-0.22)

27.7% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.73% (

-0.28)

63.26% (

0.28)

Genk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.1% (

0.33)

11.9% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.77% (

0.71)

37.23% (

-0.71)

Score Analysis

Mechelen 22.56%

Genk 56.75%

Draw 20.68%

Mechelen	Draw	Genk
2-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.57% Total : 22.56%	1-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.87% ( 0) Other @ 0.36% Total : 20.68%	1-2 @ 9.59% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 6.8% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 5.3% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 3.62% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 2.82% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.05) 1-5 @ 1.54% ( 0.06) 0-5 @ 1.2% ( 0.05) 3-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.72% Total : 56.75%