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Brasileiro | Gameweek 38

Dec 10, 2021 at 12.30am UK

Sport
1 - 1
Athletico PR

Mikael (29')
Felipe (15')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Khellven (43')
Azevedo (56')

Preview: Sport Recife vs. Athletico Paranaense - prediction, team news, lineups

By Adepoju Marvelous | 08 December 2021

Sports Mole previews Friday's Brasileiro clash between Sport Recife and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Having already suffered relegation from the Brasileiro, Sport Recife play host to Athletico Paranaense at Estadio Ilha do Retiro on Friday.

The hosts, meanwhile, are looking to preserve their top-flight status by avoiding defeat in this one.

Match preview

Athletico Paranaense had to settle for a share of the spoils in their meeting with Palmeiras on Monday.

Despite being on top for the majority of the contest, Alberto Valentim's men failed to find the breakthrough at Arena da Baixada.

The Red and Black are 14th on the log as things stand, just three points above the drop zone heading into their season finale.

Lying in store next for them is a visit to a ground where they have not won on any of the last six visits, losing each of the most recent four.

Sport Recife returned to winning ways with a narrow 1-0 victory over Chapecoense on Tuesday.

Luciano Batista opened the scoring in the 88th minute to hand Gustavo Florentin's men all three points at the Arena Conda.

The Maior do Nordeste are bottom but one on the log, six points adrift of safety with only one game left to play.

Having endured a disappointing league campaign, Friday's hosts will be keen to bow out in style as they prepare for life in the second tier next season.

Sport Recife Brasileiro form:

Athletico Paranaense Brasileiro form:

Athletico Paranaense form (all competitions):

Team News

Leandro Barcia has missed Recife's last eight games due to a knee problem, and the forward has been ruled out of Friday's game.

The home side will also be without the services of the Brazilian quartet of Meira Neilton, Joao Oliveira, Thiago and Everaldo.

Having recorded back to back clean sheets for the first time this term last time out, we expect Gustavo Florentin to stick with the defensive unit of Pedro Henrique, Thiago Heleno and Nicolas Vichiatto.

Babi Matheus and Lucas Halter are the visitors' only absentees for the match as they continue to nurse knee and leg injuries respectively.

Sport Recife possible starting lineup:
Mailson; Chico, Monteiro, Thyere, Ewerton; Marcao, Welison, Trellez; Felipe, Gustavo, Mikael

Athletico Paranaense possible starting lineup:
Santos; Henrique, Heleno, Vichiatto; Marcinho, Erick, Canesin, Abner; Neves, Nikao, Bissoli

SM words green background

We say: Sport Recife 2-1 Athletico Paranaense

Sport Recife have been solid defensively on home turf all-season long, and we expect that to continue here. We are also backing them to secure all three points in this one at the sound of the final whistle.

Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Recife win with a probability of 45.6%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 27.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sport Recife win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.