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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 24
Oct 9, 2022 at 5pm UK
Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna
Independiente

Tigre
2 - 1
Independiente

Armoa (17', 20')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Sonora (31')
('), Barreto (75'), Manuel Insaurralde (80')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Tigre and Independiente.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sarmiento 2-2 Tigre
Tuesday, October 4 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 1-2 C. Cordoba
Thursday, October 6 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 44.59%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 27.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigre would win this match.

Result
TigreDrawIndependiente
44.59% (0.643 0.64) 27.79% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08) 27.61% (-0.567 -0.57)
Both teams to score 45.85% (-0.127 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.52% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)59.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)79.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Tigre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.43% (0.336 0.34)26.57% (-0.337 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.21% (0.444 0.44)61.79% (-0.443 -0.44)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.45% (-0.461 -0.46)37.55% (0.45999999999999 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.67% (-0.455 -0.45)74.33% (0.45399999999999 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Tigre 44.59%
    Independiente 27.61%
    Draw 27.79%
TigreDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 13.22% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 8.76% (0.164 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.58% (0.054 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.87% (0.108 0.11)
3-1 @ 3.79% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.28% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 44.59%
1-1 @ 12.95% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 9.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 27.79%
0-1 @ 9.77% (-0.126 -0.13)
1-2 @ 6.34% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-2 @ 4.79% (-0.123 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.37% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 27.61%

Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 11pm
Independiente
1-1
Tigre
Benegas (35' pen.)
Batallini (28'), Blanco (69'), Benegas (69')
Retegui (90+6' pen.)
Cabrera (17'), Demartini (44')
Sep 28, 2018 10.45pm
Independiente
0-0
Tigre

Benavidez (32'), Barreto (64'), Romero (74')

Ortiz (33'), Prediger (47'), Caire (80')
rhs 2.0
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