Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 14

Nov 27, 2023 at 10pm UK

Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata, Provincia de Buenos Aires)

Estudiantes
vs.
Lanus

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Estudiantes and Lanus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estudiantes

All competitions

Last Game: C. Cordoba 0-1 Estudiantes
Friday, November 10 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lanus

All competitions

Last Game: Lanus 0-2 Racing
Saturday, November 11 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 55.13%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 18.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result
Estudiantes	Draw	Lanus
55.13% ( 1.63)	26.47% ( -0.08)	18.4% ( -1.55)

Both teams to score 39.9% (

-1.93)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.86% (

-1.32)

62.13% (

1.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.16% (

-0.98)

81.83% (

0.98)

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.17% (

0.14)

22.82% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.45% (

0.21)

56.54% (

-0.21)

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.7% (

-2.6)

48.3% (

2.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.55% (

-1.96)

83.45% (

1.96)

Score Analysis

Estudiantes 55.12%

Lanus 18.4%

Draw 26.46%

Estudiantes	Draw	Lanus
1-0 @ 16.28% ( 0.84) 2-0 @ 12.03% ( 0.68) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.47% Total : 55.12%	1-1 @ 11.85% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.53) 2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.3) Other @ 0.41% Total : 26.46%	0-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.42) 0-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.3) 1-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.1% Total : 18.4%