Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 55%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Kalmar had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Kalmar win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malmo in this match.
6.52) 
-1.37) 
