We said: Mali 2-0 Mauritania
Mali were denied a place in the knockout stages last time out when they played out a draw with Gambia. However, like all good sides do, we are tipping them to bounce back to winning ways against a floundering Mauritania side and qualify for the next phase of the tournament.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 57.56%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 21.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.72%) and 1-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Mauritania win it was 1-2 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Mali in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mali.
