Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Third Place Playoff

Feb 5, 2022 at 7pm UK

Burkina Faso
3 - 3
Cameroon

Yago (24'), Onana (43' og.), Ouattara (49')
Yago (45+3'), Tapsoba (52'), Ouedraogo (68'), Tapsoba (73')

FT
(aet)

Bahoken (71'), Aboubakar (85', 87')
Bahoken (48'), Toko Ekambi (68')

Cameroon win 5-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's African Nations Championship clash between Burkina Faso and Cameroon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We say: Burkina Faso 0-2 Cameroon

Cameroon will head into the game seeking to restore some pride following their defeat against Egypt last time out. While Burkina Faso will be looking to leave the competition with something, they face the stern test of taking on a significantly-superior Cameroon side who will be backed by the home crowd support. We predict the Indomitable Lions will come away with the win in normal time and clinch the bronze medal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 46%. A win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest Burkina Faso win was 1-0 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%).

Result
Burkina Faso	Draw	Cameroon
27.06%	26.94%	46%

Both teams to score 47.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.26%

56.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.31%

77.69%

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.49%

36.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.7%

73.3%

Cameroon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.37%

24.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.86%

59.14%

Score Analysis

Burkina Faso 27.06%

Cameroon 45.99%

Draw 26.93%

Burkina Faso	Draw	Cameroon
1-0 @ 9.06% 2-1 @ 6.4% 2-0 @ 4.57% 3-1 @ 2.15% 3-0 @ 1.53% 3-2 @ 1.51% Other @ 1.86% Total : 27.06%	1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 8.99% 2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.93%	0-1 @ 12.59% 1-2 @ 8.9% 0-2 @ 8.83% 1-3 @ 4.16% 0-3 @ 4.12% 2-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1.46% 0-4 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.41% Total : 45.99%