Sudan1 - 0Niger
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, June 11 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
We said: Sudan 2-1 Niger
Sudan are enjoying a fine run of form and have demonstrated their capabilities in the World Cup qualifiers, remaining unbeaten to date. Niger, conversely, are experiencing a difficult period and enter this match on a poor run. Given the disparity in form, we anticipate Sudan to have too much for their opponents to handle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudan win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Niger had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sudan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 2-1 (8.24%). The likeliest Niger win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sudan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sudan.
| Result | ||
| Sudan | Draw | Niger |
42.11% ( 0.13) | 28.45% ( -0.01) | 29.44% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 45.03% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.01% ( -0.04) | 60.99% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.01% ( -0.03) | 80.99% ( 0.02) |
| Sudan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.38% ( 0.05) | 28.61% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.58% ( 0.07) | 64.41% ( -0.08) |
| Niger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.08% ( -0.12) | 36.91% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.29% ( -0.12) | 73.7% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sudan | Draw | Niger |
| 1-0 @ 13.21% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.71% 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 1.63% Total : 42.1% | 1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.45% | 0-1 @ 10.52% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.82% Total : 29.43% |
