AFC Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 4, 2023 at 11am UK

Yamanashi Chuo Bank Stadium

Ventforet Kofu
1 - 0
Buriram Utd

Hasegawa (90')
Kamiya (56')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Causic (6')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Ventforet Kofu and Buriram United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ventforet Kofu

Last Game: Melbourne City 0-0 Ventforet Kofu
Wednesday, September 20 at 11am in AFC Champions League

Buriram United

Last Game: Buriram Utd 4-1 Zhejiang
Wednesday, September 20 at 11am in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buriram United win with a probability of 60.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Ventforet Kofu had a probability of 17.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buriram United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.27%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Ventforet Kofu win it was 1-0 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Ventforet Kofu	Draw	Buriram United
17.03% ( 0.07)	22.11% ( -0.01)	60.86% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 49.18% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.6% (

0.16)

48.4% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.47% (

0.15)

70.54% (

-0.15)

Ventforet Kofu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.16% (

0.18)

41.84% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.71% (

0.16)

78.3% (

-0.16)

Buriram United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.56% (

0.03)

15.44% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.72% (

0.06)

44.29% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Ventforet Kofu 17.03%

Buriram United 60.85%

Draw 22.11%

Ventforet Kofu	Draw	Buriram United
1-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.79% Total : 17.03%	1-1 @ 10.51% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.86% Total : 22.11%	0-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 11.27% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.82% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 7.02% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.12% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 3.28% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.23% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 60.85%