Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.78%) and 2-0 (5.34%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.
Result | ||
Western United | Draw | Macarthur |
43.61% | 22.27% | 34.13% |
Both teams to score 67.51% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.25% | 32.76% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.56% | 54.45% |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.24% | 15.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.11% | 44.89% |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.15% | 19.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.05% | 51.96% |
Score Analysis |
Western United | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 8.64% 1-0 @ 5.78% 2-0 @ 5.34% 3-1 @ 5.32% 3-2 @ 4.3% 3-0 @ 3.29% 4-1 @ 2.46% 4-2 @ 1.99% 4-0 @ 1.52% 4-3 @ 1.07% 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.01% Total : 43.61% | 1-1 @ 9.35% 2-2 @ 6.98% 0-0 @ 3.13% 3-3 @ 2.32% Other @ 0.49% Total : 22.27% | 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-1 @ 5.06% 0-2 @ 4.09% 1-3 @ 4.07% 2-3 @ 3.76% 0-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.65% 2-4 @ 1.52% 3-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.28% Total : 34.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |