Western Utd

4 - 1

Macarthur

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.78%) and 2-0 (5.34%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.