Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HIFK Fotboll win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a HIFK Fotboll win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Oulu win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HIFK Fotboll would win this match.