Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 46.92%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Oulu win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haka would win this match.

Result
Haka	Draw	Oulu
46.92% ( -0.36)	25.43% ( 0.28)	27.64% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 52.74% (

-0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.4% (

-1.11)

50.6% (

1.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.49% (

-0.99)

72.51% (

0.99)

Haka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.43% (

-0.62)

21.57% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.35% (

-0.95)

54.65% (

0.96)

Oulu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.24% (

-0.52)

32.76% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.68% (

-0.59)

69.32% (

0.59)

Score Analysis

Haka 46.91%

Oulu 27.64%

Draw 25.43%

Haka	Draw	Oulu
1-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.39% Total : 46.91%	1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.43%	0-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 27.64%