St Pauli

2 - 2

Erzgebirge Aue

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.