2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Dec 13, 2020 at 12.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
St Pauli2 - 2Erzgebirge Aue
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Erzgebirge Aue.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Pauli | Draw | Erzgebirge Aue |
| 46.11% | 26.59% | 27.3% |
| Both teams to score 49.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.67% | 55.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.46% | 76.54% |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.05% | 23.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.82% | 58.19% |
| Erzgebirge Aue Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.45% | 35.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.68% | 72.32% |
| Score Analysis |
St Pauli 46.11%
Erzgebirge Aue 27.3%
Draw 26.59%
| St Pauli | Draw | Erzgebirge Aue |
| 1-0 @ 12.17% 2-1 @ 8.99% 2-0 @ 8.7% 3-1 @ 4.28% 3-0 @ 4.14% 3-2 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.6% Total : 46.11% | 1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 8.52% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 8.81% 1-2 @ 6.51% 0-2 @ 4.55% 1-3 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 1.6% 0-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.01% Total : 27.3% |
Head to Head
Jun 14, 2020 12.30pm
Gameweek 31
St Pauli
2-1
Erzgebirge Aue
Feb 16, 2019 12pm
Gameweek 22
St Pauli
1-2
Erzgebirge Aue
Sep 16, 2018 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Erzgebirge Aue
3-1
St Pauli
Apr 7, 2018 12pm
Erzgebirge Aue
2-1
St Pauli
Fandrich (25'), Kvesic (82' pen.)
Hertner (69'), Rizzuto (86')
Hertner (69'), Rizzuto (86')
Form Guide
