Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Hamburger SV and Erzgebirge Aue.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 21.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Erzgebirge Aue win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamburger SV | Draw | Erzgebirge Aue |
| 54.79% | 23.87% | 21.34% |
| Both teams to score 51.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.35% | 49.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.33% | 71.67% |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82% | 18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.13% | 48.87% |
| Erzgebirge Aue Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.23% | 37.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.45% | 74.54% |
| Score Analysis |
Hamburger SV 54.78%
Erzgebirge Aue 21.34%
Draw 23.86%
| Hamburger SV | Draw | Erzgebirge Aue |
| 1-0 @ 11.65% 2-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 9.73% 3-0 @ 5.71% 3-1 @ 5.56% 3-2 @ 2.71% 4-0 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 2.39% 4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.42% Total : 54.78% | 1-1 @ 11.35% 0-0 @ 6.8% 2-2 @ 4.74% Other @ 0.98% Total : 23.86% | 0-1 @ 6.62% 1-2 @ 5.53% 0-2 @ 3.22% 1-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.54% 0-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.6% Total : 21.34% |
Head to Head
Feb 29, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 24
Erzgebirge Aue
3-0
Hamburger SV
Sep 22, 2019 12.30pm
Gameweek 7
Hamburger SV
4-0
Erzgebirge Aue
Apr 20, 2019 12pm
Form Guide
