World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Sep 4, 2021 at 5pm UK
Aviva Stadium
Rep. Ireland1 - 1Azerbaijan
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 48.42%. A win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Azerbaijan win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Republic of Ireland | Draw | Azerbaijan |
48.42% | 24.6% | 26.98% |
Both teams to score 54.9% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |