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World Cup
Panama national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Mar 25, 2022 at 1.05am UK
 
Honduras national football team

Panama
1 - 1
Honduras

Blackburn (23')
Waterman Ruiz (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lopez (65')
Arriaga (11'), Decas (44'), Sacaza (70'), Maldonado (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Panama and Honduras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Panama

Last Six:
Last Game: Panama 1-0 Canada
Thursday, March 31 at 2.05am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Next Game: Panama vs. Martinique
Friday, June 10 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Honduras

Last Six:
Last Game: Honduras 1-2 Curacao
Tuesday, June 7 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Next Game: Honduras vs. Canada
Tuesday, June 14 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Panama 1-0 Honduras

 The Hondurans have nothing but pride to play for at this stage, so we expect to see more urgency from Panama, who know the importance of winning this match with the standings so close. La Marea Roja have more organisation and balance in their team than La H, and they have not lost a game on their home soil since a 3-0 defeat to Mexico in the 2019 CONCACAF Nations League. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 53.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 20.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Honduras win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
PanamaDrawHonduras
53.94%25.54%20.52%
Both teams to score 45.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.12%56.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.2%77.8%
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.86%21.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.01%53.99%
Honduras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.23%42.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.91%79.1%
Score Analysis
    Panama 53.93%
    Honduras 20.52%
    Draw 25.54%
PanamaDrawHonduras
1-0 @ 14.05%
2-0 @ 10.91%
2-1 @ 9.27%
3-0 @ 5.66%
3-1 @ 4.8%
4-0 @ 2.2%
3-2 @ 2.04%
4-1 @ 1.87%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 53.93%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 9.04%
2-2 @ 3.94%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 25.54%
0-1 @ 7.68%
1-2 @ 5.07%
0-2 @ 3.26%
1-3 @ 1.44%
2-3 @ 1.12%
0-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 20.52%

How you voted: Panama vs Honduras

Panama
77.8%
Draw
17.8%
Honduras
4.4%
45
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2021 1.05am
Honduras
2-3
Panama
Elis (30'), Moya (59')
Elis (11'), Lozano (18'), Melendez (65'), Lopez (84')
Waterman Ruiz (77'), Yanis (81'), Davis (85')
Stephens (41')
Jul 18, 2021 2.30am
Panama
2-3
Honduras
Davis (32' pen.), Yanis (45+1')
Palacios (13'), Alonso Miller Molina (54'), Carrasquilla (83')
Quioto (22', 65'), Agustin Lopez Rodriguez (61')
Figueroa (17'), Crisanto (90+2')
Nov 17, 2018 2am
Honduras
1-0
Panama
Lozano (75' pen.)

Sanchez (53'), Andrade (74')
Jul 10, 2015 11pm
Group A
Honduras
1-1
Panama
Najar (82')
Beckeles (59'), Claros (85')
Tejada (21')
Tejada (65'), Machado (74'), Penedo (91'), Henriquez (96')
Henriquez (97')
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