World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 16, 2023 at 1pm UK
Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium
Burundi3 - 2Gambia
FT(HT: 2-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cameroon 3-0 Burundi
Tuesday, September 12 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Tuesday, September 12 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
We said: Burundi 0-2 Gambia
Gambia head into their group opener unbeaten in their last three matches and will be licking their lips as they take on a Burundi side have managed just two competitive wins since the start of 2021. Given the gulf in quality between the two sides, we predict that the Scorpions will claim all three points in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gambia win with a probability of 36.22%. A win for Burundi had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.23%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Burundi win was 1-0 (12.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burundi | Draw | Gambia |
33.81% ( -0.02) | 29.97% ( -0.01) | 36.22% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 42.17% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
