Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flint Town United would win this match.